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No Winless Year!
Posted by: partyvancaptain on April 8, 2010 at 7:18 pm

Hey, Chicago, whaddaya say? It sure is nice to see a Cubs victory, even if it took three tries. It is better than the 0-14 start to the 1997 season, that's for sure. Tonight's game felt much like last night's, only without the massive home run. One wonders if Chipper Jones did not leave the game early, would we have seen a complete repeat. On to the awards:

The Jerome Williams Player of the Game goes to who else but the man with six scoreless innings? Randy Wells picked up right where he left off and got the job done tonight. The offense is struggling mightily at this point, and the Cubs needed a really good start to put them in any position to win. Wells did that, and hopefully he is showing that 2009 was no fluke. Once Ted Lilly comes back, the rotation looks pretty good one through four.

Our third recipient of the "Hang Your Head" award goes to Ryan Theriot. The first two games also go into this decision, as he was hitless the entire series. Do not get me wrong, the entire offense minus maybe Marlon Byrd, Aramis Ramirez and tonight Tyler Colvin is struggling. Theriot though has a lot to prove as the leadoff hitter and as a man who has a 20-year-old phenom breathing down his neck. While I do not expect Starlin Castro to be up here in the next week, Theriot needs to not force management's hand on this. He needs to get back to hitting those liners and grounders between first and second. That is how he can be most effective.

By the way, I understand and even agree with the move to bring in John Grabow to face Brian McCann. While 5 at bats is a small sample size, McCann has not done a thing against Grabow. With that said, I hope Piniella does not keep bringing Grabow in to face every lefty in the late innings. Caridad looks like a reliever that can throw strikes, and he could be the best option for the eighth. Getting too cute with lefty-righty matchups can cause you to take out an effective reliever and replace him with an ineffective one. Tonight that almost bit the Cubs in the butt. Again.

On a final note, Marmol showed me what I already feel about him. He is one of the best pitchers in the league when he has two strikes on a hitter. Heyward and Cabrera looked plain stupid at the plate against him. Now if only he could find a consistent release point.

By the way, I hope you like the banner above. I am hoping to fill in some of the empty area on the right 75% of it. Anyways, I'll try and be back tomorrow for the first against Cincinnati.

Posted in: Randy Wells, Ryan Theriot
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The Good, The Bad and the Ugly
Posted by: partyvancaptain on June 9, 2009 at 8:51 pm

Today I thought I would throw some numbers out there about this here Cubs team. I have 6 numbers (3 good, 3 bad) which will be classified as the good, the bad, the ugly... um... the uglier, the better and the best. How's that? We will start with the worst number and move up to the best number so this post will finish on a positive note. After today's game, the Cubs deserve it. Here we go...

  • The Ugliest: 119,958,000. That is the amount of money the Cubs already have committed to next year's team. That doesn't even include arbitration eligible players, such as Ryan Theriot and Carlos Marmol who will probably get nice little raises. I think this number accounts for the salaries of like 8 or 9 guys. Outside of the Yankees, that is by far the biggest amount committed next year, and dwarfs the ENTIRE 2009 payroll for almost 2/3rds of the other teams. With the ownership situation in limbo, don't expect much more spending. And the best part? Hendry topped off the contracts for Lee, Ramirez, Soriano, Zambrano, Dempster and Bradley with No Trade Clauses. We're stuck. Again, Hendry is overrated. (credit to http://mlbcontracts.blogspot.com/)
  • The Ugly: 88. If Lou continues using Marmol at the pace he has so far (in 55 games, including tonight), that is how many games Marmol will pitch in. Combine that with the World Baseball Classic, are you surprised he is struggling? Putting him in games where the game is not close doesn't help. Lou might finally be getting the hint though. One can only hope.
  • The Bad: 10. The amount of men left on base tonight by our big signing, Milton Bradley. What an awful display, especially that last at bat, where he appeared to have given up on it once the count got to 1-2. Now this isn't horrible, because having 10 men on base means that the Cubs offense was cracking tonight (except for Milton and Theriot). But come on, in 6 at bats you think you would at least stumble ass backwards into an RBI. Yeesh.
  • The Good: .342. Derrek Lee's on-base percentage coming into play today. Now on the surface, that is not a very great OBP. But when you look at Lee's April OBP, which was a disgusting .253, you can see that this is moving in a very good direction. In May, and so far in June, Lee has been over .400 in OBP, which is a much better indicator of hitting than batting average, in my opinion. Derrek Lee is showing a discerning eye at the plate, and that is ultimately giving him more pitches to hit. Looks like Lee might not be finished after all.
  • The Better: 1.01. Randy Wells' WHIP in 6 starts this year. Anything around 1 is pretty good, especially for a guy like Randy, who was in no way, shape or form part of this year's plans. Randy is a great indicator why wins are a terrible metric for determining a pitcher's worth. That and Jason Marquis, who leads the NL in wins. He will get his win as long as he pitches the way he has been. The big part of that is right there in the WHIP, though. If you are only averaging one baserunner per inning, you are not going to get in very many jams, and your pitch count won't jump on you.
  • The Best: 1.91. That is the bullpen ERA since Neal Cotts was exiled to Iowa on 5/27. This is also over 37.2 innings, including tonight, which means this is no small sample size. The bullpen has really brought it together, minus one big exception, and that has lead to a pretty good road trip so far. Much better than the last one. They are still walking way too many people (25 in those 37.2 innings), but they aren't giving up too many hits. The pitchers leading the charge? Angel Guzman, and Aaron Heilman. Just goes to show you the impact this blog can have on a pitcher. Heilman, since Cotts left (because that's clearly what held Heilman back), has only walked 2 batters in 6.2 innings, and given up 1 run for a 1.35 ERA. This is very encouraging. On the flip side, Marmol has walked 9 in 7 innings (YIKES), which may or may not be related to the blatant overuse Lou is putting him through. Either way, if the other bullpen options keep up this kind of work, we are in good shape.
If you look up, you will see 25 Cardinals plummetting back to Earth. They are starting to realize exactly what kind of team they are, and hopefully Milwaukee will follow suit. Bottom line, this Cubs team is also playing over its head, but there are two major reinforcements, Harden and Ramirez, that will make this team pretty darn good.

Oh, and congrats to Brett Jackson- the Cubs first round draft pick tonight. I put up the list of busts a couple weeks ago, and I am begging whoever is charged with developing this guy: whatever you did with Ryan Harvey, DO NOT do that with Brett Jackson. If you don't, I'm sure thing will work out great.


Posted in: Payroll, Bullpen, Derrek Lee, Randy Wells, Brett Jackson
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2004 has nothing on this team
Posted by: partyvancaptain on June 2, 2009 at 8:38 pm

My last post was an 'Eternal Optimism' post. Just as soon as I can once again proclaim the amount of latent talent on this team, the Cubs show us a little of everything it takes to overcome talent and snatch defeat from the jaws of victory. Today is one of those days where NOTHING goes right, except Randy Wells. And with that, the rant.

I see very little redeeming about this team. While they are talented, supremely talented, they have managed to be little more than a middle of the road team.

You have a guy with a 1.76 ERA (ONE POINT SEVEN SIX), who once again, despite giving up two hits in 7+ innings, did not get a win. Why? Because the manager inexplicably took him out and the bullpen once again faltered. It is at a point where you have to wonder if this is some cruel joke the team is perpetuating on Mr. Wells. The worst part is, you know the league will catch up to him at some point. This will not last. Leave it to the Cubs to be 0-4 with this dude absolutely baffling the opposition.

Aaron Heilman and Kevin Gregg are bad. Carlos Marmol isn't much better nowadays. The bullpen is bad. It's nearly impossible to get a great bullpen, but its not too much to ask for a middle of the road bullpen is it? Apparently it is.

Milton Bradley is hurt again. He's not worth it. Maybe that will change, but I doubt it.

Carlos Zambrano is acting out again. Missing flights, and just in general being a jackass. I have a hard time seeing how he is worth it.

This team is talented. That is undeniable. If they ever get their act together, they WILL win the division. But as it stands now, the only thing just as undeniable as the talent is the extraneous crap that prevents them from getting their act together.

And the best part? We are stuck with most of these guys for quite a while, so get used to it.


Posted in: Eternal frustration, Randy Wells
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